Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 5/14/2025

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · May 14, 2025

Updated May 15, 2025 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 38.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year while on the road.

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has sunk a measly 26.6% of his 3-pointers this season, significantly less than his 38.2 rate last season.
In regard to offense, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 101.9 points per game places lowest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Warriors have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games as the away team.
The Warriors are expected to see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
Gary Payton II will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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