Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2025

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 10, 2025

Updated May 11, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has converted 43.3% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games at home, 16.4% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season playing at home.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Warriors rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Golden State Warriors.
Gary Payton II has attempted 0.5 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA.

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