Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 5/8/2025

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · May 8, 2025

Updated May 9, 2025 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has made 54.1% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Gary Payton II has successfully made 45.4% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 18.2% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the Warriors's lackluster 91.0 points per game as the away team settles in as the lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 1.3 3-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Warriors.
Gary Payton II ought to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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