Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2025

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · May 6, 2025

Updated May 7, 2025 1:18 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Gary Payton II comes in at the 87th percentile for shooting prowess with a phenomenal 53.9% rate this year.
Gary Payton II has successfully made 38.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 11.7% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
The Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Minnesota may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Warriors's feeble 45.0% field goal percentage settles in as the 5th-fewest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have totaled 1.3 3-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The Warriors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).
Gary Payton II will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lower stat production across the board.

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