Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2025

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · May 4, 2025

Updated May 4, 2025 9:58 PM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Houston may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are at home (4th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Warriors's poor 45.0% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on threes (worst in the NBA) against the Rockets, designating this as a tough matchup.
The 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Warriors.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Golden State Warriors.

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