Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 5/2/2025

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · May 2, 2025

Updated May 3, 2025 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has sunk 41.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games at home, 14.5% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season playing at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Gary Payton II will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Warriors's poor 45.0% field goal percentage settles in as the 5th-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6).
The 3rd-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Warriors.
Gary Payton II has attempted 0.6 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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