Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2025

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 15, 2025

Updated Apr 16, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has sunk 4.3 field goals per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's made over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
Gary Payton II has sunk 43.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 18.0% more than he's made from three over the course of the year on his home court.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Gary Payton II will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improve stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Warriors's lackluster 45.2% field goal percentage rates 5th-lowest in the league this year.
The 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
Among all players in the league, Gary Payton II slots into the 21st percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a measly 0.6 free throw attempts per game this year.

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