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Gary Payton II

Gary Payton II Points
Player Prop - 3/25/2025

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Gary Payton II has sunk 5.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 more than he's made over the course of the year.
  • Gary Payton II has converted 56.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 29.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
  • This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a good matchup.
  • The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in the league as the visting team with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
  • The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Warriors.
  • Gary Payton II will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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