Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has converted 60.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 36.2% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season while at home.
The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 32.9% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Gary Payton II should see a rise in production for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Warriors have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.

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