Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2025

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 3, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 11:19 PM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has sunk 56.1% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has successfully made a mere 22.1% of his shots from downtown this year, significantly less than his 38.2 rate last year.
As it relates to drawing fouls, the Warriors's feeble 20.9 foul shots per game measures as the 6th-worst in the NBA this year.
Gary Payton II is expected to see a decline in production in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this contest.

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