Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 35.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has sunk a mere 18.8% of his shots from downtown this year, a sizeable decrease from his 38.2 rate last year.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-worst in the league this year with a measly 20.9 free throws per game.
Gary Payton II will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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