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Gary Payton II

Gary Payton II Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Lakers is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).

The 9th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Gary Payton II has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 37.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

Gary Payton II ought to see a spike in effectiveness for all stats due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Gary Payton II measures in the 9th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a poor 17.3% rate this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Gary Payton II measures in the 24th percentile for playing time, totaling a mere 13.4 minutes per game this year.

The Warriors rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The Golden State Warriors will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).

The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

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