Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2025

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 22, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).
The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Sacramento may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Kings are playing at home (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has successfully made a measly 15.2% of his 3-point shots this year, a sizeable decrease from his 38.2 rate last year.
With respect to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 105.1 points per game as the road team settles in as the 2nd-lowest in the league over the last 15 games.
The 3rd-slowest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
Out of all players in the league, Gary Payton II registers in the 8th percentile for foul-shot ability with a feeble 52.5% rate this year.
Gary Payton II will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.

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