Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Gary Payton II should see an increase in production in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has converted a lowly 13.9% of his 3-pointers this season, significantly less than his 38.2 mark last season.
Out of all players in the league, Gary Payton II places in the 23rd percentile for playing time, putting up a mere 13.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
Gary Payton II has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
In regard to scoring, the Golden State Warriors's poor 104.0 points per game comes in as the 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games.

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