Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2024

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 11, 2024

Updated Dec 12, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. Houston may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Rockets are at home (4th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has sunk just 14.7% of his 3-point attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 38.2 rate last season.
Gary Payton II has been on the court for 13.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league: 21st percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on threes (worst in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
Gary Payton II has converted a lowly 42.9% of his free throws this season, significantly lower than his 61.5 rate last season.

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