Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 3, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has converted 58.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.0% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 68.6% clip, Gary Payton II's free-throw performance has declined this year to 60.0%.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games with a mere 16.2 foul shots per game.
Gary Payton II will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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