Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 26, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has converted 75.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 22.1% more than he's made over the course of the season.
Gary Payton II has successfully made 62.5% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 33.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
This year, their opposition has totaled 11.4 3-pointers per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Gary Payton II measures in the 87th percentile for technical fouls, registering a colossal 0.1 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors.
The Denver Nuggets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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