Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have tallied the 8th-least buckets per game in the NBA over the last 15 games when the Jazz are playing at home (41.4).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has made a measly 24.4% of his 3-point attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 38.9 rate last year.
Compared to last season's 0.0 rate, Gary Payton II's technical fouls have spiked this season to 0.1 per game.
The Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Jazz).
The Utah Jazz have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (10.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
As it relates to drawing fouls, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 19.8 foul shots per game ranks 2nd-worst in the league over the last 25 games.

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