Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2023

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 16, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 1.3 clip, Gary Payton II's personal fouls per game have fallen this season to 0.8.
This matchup is a tough one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to their opposition this year (103.3).
The Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II is expected to get a boost in production in all stat categories due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 25.0% clip, Gary Payton II's 3-point effectiveness has been reduced this year to 11.1%.
Gary Payton II has averaged 17.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league: 16th percentile.
The Warriors check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league while on the road this year.
The 8th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
While playing on the road, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive boards per game (14.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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