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Gary Payton II

Gary Payton II Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Gary Payton II rates in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 0.8 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.

The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Gary Payton II has converted 57.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 9 games on the road, 7.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this season without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 61.2% mark, Gary Payton II's shooting efficiency has regressed this season to 49.5%.

With respect to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 106.5 points per game while playing on the road places 3rd-lowest in the NBA this year.

The 6th-most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

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