Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · May 12, 2023

Updated May 13, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has converted 69.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 8.7% higher than he's made overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a positive one for scoring; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 25th-most field goals per game in the NBA this year (6.5).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.2) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the league this year, tallying just 20.2 foul shots per game.
Gary Payton II will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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