Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2023

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 10, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has sunk 40.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.
Gary Payton II has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 16th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; when the Lakers are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Warriors.

Favors Under

The Lakers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II has converted 0.4 foul shots per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 19th percentile among all players in the league.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 20.2 free throws per game.

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