Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 5/8/2023

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · May 8, 2023

Updated May 9, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has converted 59.8% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
Gary Payton II has sunk 39.7% of his 3-pointers this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a strong one; they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (18.0).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Warriors.

Favors Under

While at home, the Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II has attempted 0.4 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 9th percentile among all players in the league.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year with a measly 20.3 foul shot attempts per game.
Gary Payton II will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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