Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 30, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 3:11 PM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has converted 70.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 6.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing on the road.
Gary Payton II has sunk 43.9% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.
The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for shots from the field; when the Kings are on their home court, opposing clubs have posted the highest FG% in the NBA against them this year (50.6%).
Gary Payton II has attempted 0.3 free throws per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 9th percentile among all players in the league.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year with a measly 20.5 foul shots per game.
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; when the Kings are at home, opposing squads have attempted an enormous 24.1 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (7th-most in the league).
Gary Payton II will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.