Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has sunk a whopping 54.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, significantly higher than his 36.1 rate last season.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have totaled the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games when the Pelicans are on the road (36.1).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the foul line: worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 20.1 foul shots per game.
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Pelicans are away from home, opposing squads have attempted a massive 26.0 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (5th-most in the NBA).

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