Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Washington Wizards vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has converted a whopping 68.8% of his 3-point shots this year, quite a bit more than his 36.1 rate last year.
The Wizards have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
While at home, the Wizards have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II has made a terrific 100.0% of his foul shots this season, significantly higher than his 60.5 rate last season.

Favors Under

This matchup is a hard one; when the Wizards are at home, they have allowed the 10th-least points per game in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (117.2).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year.
Gary Payton II will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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