Gary Payton II Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+145/-188).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -188.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has converted 66.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 32.1% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has averaged 33.1% on three-pointers (5th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
The Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Warriors.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has brought down 13.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (saving possessions that can generate more chances for offense).

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