Gary Payton II Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 1.2 mark, Gary Payton II's 3-point attempts have jumped this season to 3.2 per game.
The Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Sacramento Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has successfully made 24.2% of his 3-point shots while on his home court this year, placing him in the 18th percentile among all players in the NBA.
In comparison to last season's 2.0 mark, Gary Payton II's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 2.3.
This matchup is a good one for three-point shots; when the Kings are on their home court, their opposition has put up the 10th-highest 3-point percentage in the league against them this year (36.8%).
Gary Payton II will likely see a decline in output across the board on account of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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