Gary Payton II Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 9:57 PM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games as the road team.
The Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, their opposition has nabbed 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics (saving possessions that can bring about extra chances for offense).
Gary Payton II will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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