Gary Payton II Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Gary Payton II rates in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 0.8 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production across the board.

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has put up 0.9 assists per game on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 18th percentile -- among the league trailers by this metric.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

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