Gary Payton II Assists - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2023

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Oct 24, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Warriors.
The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has tallied 0.7 assists per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile -- among the worst in the league by this metric.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-slowest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns).
When playing away from home, the Suns have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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