Gary Payton II Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2023

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 10, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+113/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 16th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gary Payton II will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Gary Payton II has averaged 0.6 assists per game while at home this year, putting him in the 19th percentile -- among the NBA's trailers by this standard.
The Lakers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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