Gabe Vincent Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 6/4/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Jun 4, 2023

Updated Jun 4, 2023 10:26 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has averaged 32.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 6.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has posted 0.4 offensive rebounds per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile -- among the NBA's trailers by this metric.
Gabe Vincent has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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