Gabe Vincent Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/27/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 27, 2023

Updated May 27, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has tallied 0.4 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this metric: 25th percentile.
Gabe Vincent has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the season at home.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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