Gabe Vincent Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has tallied 0.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the worst players in the NBA in this category: 20th percentile.
Gabe Vincent has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should reduce plays for the Heat.

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