Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2025

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 30, 2025

Updated May 1, 2025 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 23.3% rate, Gabe Vincent's shooting efficiency has surged this year to 39.5%.
Gabe Vincent has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 27.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been very successful at getting to the charity stripe as the home team: 2nd-best in the league this year with 24.0 foul shots per game.
Gabe Vincent is expected to see a spike in output across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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