Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has sunk 55.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 13.3% higher than he's converted in all games this season when playing at home.
Gabe Vincent has sunk 51.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 17.6% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
With respect to shooting, the Lakers's impressive 115.8 points per game on their home court comes in as the 8th-best in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a good one; they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (18.1).
The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.

Favors Under

The 8th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league on their home court with only 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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