Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2024

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 25, 2024

Updated Apr 26, 2024 2:28 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+126/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has converted 27.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 5.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing at home.
In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's terrific 123.4 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to increased plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Gabe Vincent will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Gabe Vincent measures in the 14th percentile for three-point effectiveness playing at home with a subpar 11.1% rate this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Relative to last year's 1.2 rate, Gabe Vincent's number of free throw attempts has been reduced this year to 0.2 free throw attempts per game.

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