Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 6/9/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jun 9, 2023

Updated Jun 10, 2023 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from three in all games this year.
Gabe Vincent has averaged 33.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 7 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has sunk 94.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 11.4% more than he's made in all games this year.
Gabe Vincent will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one; they have given up the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 20 games (13.9).
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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