Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 5/23/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 23, 2023

Updated May 24, 2023 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has attempted 7.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Gabe Vincent has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.8% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.2 more than he's committed overall this season at home.
The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for field goals; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 10th-lowest FG% in the league this year (41.1%).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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