Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 12, 2023

Updated May 12, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has attempted 7.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against New York is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; when the Knicks are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 24th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (15.3).
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.3% higher than he's converted overall this season.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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