Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 6, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has attempted 8.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Gabe Vincent has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.9% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
This matchup is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Knicks are the visiting squad, their opposition have totaled the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (36.9).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should reduce possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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