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Gabe Vincent

Gabe Vincent Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Gabe Vincent has converted 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year when playing away from home.
  • The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
  • The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Heat.
  • While at home, the Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile).
  • The matchup against Milwaukee is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Bucks are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 12th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (42.4%).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
  • The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Gabe Vincent has sunk 50.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, -29.9% lower than he's put through the net overall this year.

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