Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 24, 2023

Updated Apr 24, 2023 9:46 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.
Gabe Vincent will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has converted 38.1% of his shots from the field while playing at home this year, putting him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Bucks are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 14th-least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.8).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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