Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 22, 2023

Updated Apr 22, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has attempted 5.0 threes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.
Gabe Vincent will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has converted 38.6% of his shot attempts from the field at home this year, placing him in the 19th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup against Milwaukee is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 13th-least shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.9).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Bucks have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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