Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 20, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has scored 13.8 points per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.8 higher than he's scored overall this year on the road.
Gabe Vincent has successfully made 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season away from his home court.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (76th percentile).
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Bucks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 13th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (42.2%).
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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