Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has successfully made 2.6 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season away from his home court.
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Washington is a good one for three-pointers; when the Wizards have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 25th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.3).
The Wizards have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has made 38.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 14th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Gabe Vincent has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (78th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Wizards have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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