Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league on the road this year as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The 76ers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Philadelphia may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 15 games when the 76ers have the home court advantage (26th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has successfully made 38.2% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Gabe Vincent has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The matchup against Philadelphia is a challenging one; when the 76ers are at home, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (16.2).
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease plays for the Heat.

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