Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has sunk 42.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 11.2% more than he's made from three in all games this season.
Gabe Vincent has been on the court for 28.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road.
The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Pistons is a good one for field goals; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 24th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (46.2%).
The matchup vs. Detroit is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.3 free throws per game this year when the Pistons are at home (22nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has sunk 37.9% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 14th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (78th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games at home, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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