Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has successfully made 42.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's converted in all games this year.
Gabe Vincent has averaged 29.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 5.5 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Raptors have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.1% more than he's made in all games this year.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).
The matchup against the Raptors is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.5).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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